The objective of this course is to introduce students to the theoretical and methodological foundations of global risk and crisis management. It is divided into three parts.
In the first part, the main principles of any risk study are presented from concrete examples, with a division into 5 phases: preliminary study, identification of the risks (by inductive and deductive methods), evaluation (qualitative and quantitative analyses, hierarchization, determination of the thresholds of acceptability), treatment of the risks (cost/benefit analyses, reduction of the risks, treatment of the residual risk), follow-up (follow-up of the implementation of the management of the risks, capitalization of the REX, cells of watch).
The second part of the course proposes an outline of the principal methods of risk analysis: strictly probabilistic methods, methods resulting from the field of the operating safety (preliminary analysis of the dangers, methods of the Trees of events, the Trees of consequences, the Trees of failure), systemic methods of type HAZOP and AMDEC, etc.
Finally, the course proposes a focus (for a volume of 12 hours) on the two main theories of global management of risks and crises (MADS model and cindynic approach - sciences of danger) and, from case studies, on their concrete applications (MOSAR method, cindynic psychology, judicial cindynic, financial, urban, urban sanitary, industrial cindynic).
The main principles of risk analysis
The main methods of risk analysis
Focus on the two main theories of global risk management: the MADS model and the cindynical approach